TCBK

TriCo Bancshares

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Banks - Regional

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

04/23/26

Business Summary

TriCo Bancshares operates as a regional banking institution, generating revenue primarily through net interest income and traditional lending activities. Its moat is rooted in localized market presence, customer relationships, and deposit gathering within its regional footprint. By leveraging its balance sheet to originate loans and manage spreads between funding costs and lending yields, it converts disciplined underwriting into steady cash flow. The durability of its franchise depends less on scale advantages and more on credit quality, cost control, and maintaining depositor trust through economic cycles.

 


VALUATION

P/E

13.6

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,616

Forward P/E

11.9

PEG

1.7

PRICE TO SALES

4

PRICE TO BOOK

1.2

EV / EBITDA

-

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

2.80%

Annual Payout

$1.41

Payout Ratio

37.10%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

10+

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

7.60%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$3.72

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$4.22

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

4.20%

Return on Equity (ROE)

9.20%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

43.40%

Debt-to-Equity

0.1

Piotroski F-Score

7

Altman Z-Score

0.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

17.10%

Current Ratio

-

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 13.6x earnings and 11.9x forward earnings, TCBK screens optically cheap, but the valuation is not screamingly distressed given a PEG of 1.7 and a razor-thin 0.3 Altman Z-Score. The forward multiple implies modest growth, yet the balance sheet risk implied by the Z-Score suggests the market is applying a justified risk discount rather than mispricing it outright. With Return on Equity at just 4.20% and an Operating Margin of 9.20%, profitability is underwhelming for a regional bank, meaning this is more of a stability-and-yield story than a high-quality compounder. The market is pricing in survivability and slow improvement, not breakout growth, and that seems broadly rational given the data.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a regional bank in the Financial Services sector, TCBK’s AI exposure is indirect and operational rather than product-driven. Efficiency gains through underwriting automation, fraud detection, and cost control will matter more than disruptive innovation. Its ability to defend margin in a tech-upgrading banking environment will determine whether its 9.20% operating margin expands or compresses further.

The Bull Case

A value-oriented GARP investor could justify a position here based on capital efficiency and internal quality signals. ROIC at 17.10% is materially stronger than its 4.20% ROE would suggest, indicating disciplined capital allocation and potentially conservative leverage. A Piotroski F-Score of 7 reinforces that the company’s fundamental health is solid across profitability, leverage, and operating metrics. The 11.9 forward P/E combined with estimated EPS next year of $3.72 suggests earnings visibility, while institutional ownership at 54.67% signals that professional capital is engaged. Add in a 2.80% dividend and a manageable 43.40% debt-to-equity ratio, and you have a bank that appears fundamentally stable with incremental upside if margins or growth modestly improve.

The Bear Case

The red flags are not subtle. A 0.3 Altman Z-Score is distress-level territory, which cannot be ignored in a leveraged industry like banking. A PEG of 1.7 indicates investors are not getting growth cheaply, and with Sales Growth Next Year listed at $4.22, the growth narrative lacks clarity relative to valuation. Short interest at 7.60% of float suggests a meaningful pocket of skepticism, likely tied to the weak 4.20% ROE and thin 9.20% operating margin. If credit conditions tighten or funding costs rise, this capital structure and profitability profile leave little margin for error.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

3.40%

Analyst Consensus

2.29

Average Analyst Price Target

$54.67

Institutional Ownership %

71.40%

1-Year Beta

0.88

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

8.40%%

Distance to 52-Week High

94.50%

Distance to 52-Week Low

142.60%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.