PGR

The Progressive Corporation

Fundamental data last updated:May 12, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Insurance - Property & Casualty

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

07/15/2026

Business Summary

Progressive's business model thrives on its ability to underwrite risk effectively in the property and casualty insurance market. By leveraging data-driven insights, it tailors policies to individual needs, enhancing customer retention. Its competitive moat is fortified by a strong brand and innovative pricing strategies, which deter new entrants. This focus on customer-centric solutions ensures a steady cash flow and reinforces its market position.

 


VALUATION

P/E

9.92

Market Cap ($M USD)

$114.47B

Forward P/E

12.29

PEG

-0.64

PRICE TO SALES

1.28

PRICE TO BOOK

3.58

EV / EBITDA

8.14

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

14.34%

DCF Value

$414.27

Graham Number

$155.88

Price to FCF

6.97

EV to FCF

7.47

Earnings Yield

10.08%

FCF Yield

14.34%

DIVIDEND

Yield

7.10%

Annual Payout

$13.90

Payout Ratio

70.49%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$19.74

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$15.94

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$10.04T

Return on Equity (ROE)

35.45%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

16.27%

Debt-to-Equity

0.23

Piotroski F-Score

7

Altman Z-Score

1.62

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

36.00%

Current Ratio

0.25

Quick Ratio

0.25

Net Debt to EBITDA

0.55

Interest Coverage

52.35

Gross Profit margin

28.44%

FCF PER SHARE

$28.04

REVENUE PER SHARE

$152.71

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The Progressive Corporation’s valuation presents a compelling case of market mispricing. With a DCF value significantly higher than its snapshot price, the stock appears undervalued. The Forward P/E ratio suggests a cautious growth outlook, yet the robust Earnings Yield indicates potential for strong returns. However, the Altman Z-score raises concerns about financial stability, hinting at moderate distress risk. Overall, the market seems to be underestimating its intrinsic value, offering a potential opportunity for savvy investors.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

In the insurance industry, Progressive is well-positioned to leverage AI and tech advancements. The sector's reliance on data analytics for risk assessment and customer engagement aligns with AI capabilities. This adaptability could enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction, securing its competitive edge.

The Bull Case

For value and GARP investors, Progressive shines with its impressive ROIC of 36%, indicating exceptional capital efficiency. The FCF Yield, though modest, complements a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7, signaling solid financial health. Its operating margin of 16.27% underscores pricing power, while a low Debt/Equity ratio enhances financial flexibility. These metrics paint a picture of a company adept at generating and reinvesting cash effectively.

The Bear Case

Despite its strengths, Progressive faces structural risks. The Price/Book ratio of 3.58 and Price/Sales of 1.28 suggest it may be overvalued relative to tangible assets and revenue. The Altman Z-score further highlights potential financial distress, and the stock's proximity to its 52-week high indicates technical overextension. These factors could deter risk-averse investors wary of paying a premium for growth.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Hold

Average Analyst Price Target

$230.27

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.30

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

48.01%

Distance to 52-Week Low

2.12%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

2.27%

50-DAY SMA

$202.39

200-DAY SMA

$221.02

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.