SENEA

Seneca Foods

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Defensive

industry

Packaged Foods

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

06/11/26

Business Summary

Seneca Foods operates as a large-scale processor and distributor of packaged food products, generating cash through high-volume production and broad retail distribution. The model is built on manufacturing scale, supply chain control, and long-standing retailer relationships rather than brand-driven pricing premiums. Cash flow stability comes from recurring demand in the Consumer Defensive sector, where consumption patterns are relatively inelastic. Its moat is operational: scale efficiencies, distribution reach, and balance sheet strength enable it to withstand commodity cycles and maintain steady operating margins.

 


VALUATION

P/E

12.9

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,133

Forward P/E

-

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

0.7

PRICE TO BOOK

1.6

EV / EBITDA

7.5

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$13.11

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

-

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

-

Return on Equity (ROE)

12.60%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

7.90%

Debt-to-Equity

0.4

Piotroski F-Score

8

Altman Z-Score

4.6

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

11.20%

Current Ratio

4.3

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 12.9x earnings with a Price/Sales of 0.7 and Price/Book of 1.6, the market is valuing Seneca Foods like a no-growth, balance-sheet-heavy commodity operator despite clear evidence of operational strength. The absence of a Forward P/E and PEG suggests limited forward visibility, yet the projected EPS of $13.11 versus current EPS of 7.5 implies a dramatic earnings step-up that is not reflected in the current multiple. An Altman Z-Score of 4.6 signals low bankruptcy risk, while a Piotroski F-Score of 8 indicates strong financial momentum and accounting quality. This is a statistically safe balance sheet paired with depressed valuation metrics—classic deep value territory with embedded optionality if earnings normalize upward.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Consumer Defensive company in Packaged Foods, Seneca operates in a low-tech, demand-stable segment where AI disruption risk is minimal. Efficiency gains from automation, supply chain optimization, and demand forecasting can enhance margins, but the core value proposition remains physical production and distribution scale. The business is resilient to technological displacement but unlikely to experience AI-driven hypergrowth.

The Bull Case

A GARP or deep value investor buys this because the internal quality metrics contradict the muted valuation. An ROIC of 11.20% comfortably exceeds typical cost of capital assumptions for a defensive food business, indicating disciplined capital deployment. The 12.60% operating margin is robust for packaged foods, and a Piotroski F-Score of 8 signals improving profitability, leverage, and operational efficiency. Add a Current Ratio of 4.3 and an Altman Z-Score of 4.6, and you have a fortress liquidity profile with minimal financial distress risk. If EPS moves from 7.5 toward the 13.11 estimate, the current 12.9 P/E multiple would compress dramatically, creating a valuation re-rating opportunity without requiring speculative assumptions.

The Bear Case

The red flag is capital structure and growth visibility. Debt/Equity at 7.90% is modest, but the lack of Forward P/E, PEG, Sales Growth Next Year, Return on Equity, Short % of Float, and Institutional Ownership data limits transparency into future trajectory and market conviction. Price/Sales of 0.7 may reflect structurally thin industry growth, and the near-zero Dividend 5-Year Avg and minimal 0.4 yield offer little income cushion. Without clear forward growth metrics, this could remain a statistically cheap but chronically stagnant asset, particularly in a sector where pricing power and input costs can swing margins unpredictably.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

3.40%

Analyst Consensus

-

Average Analyst Price Target

-

Institutional Ownership %

72.30%

1-Year Beta

0.24

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

15.40%%

Distance to 52-Week High

100.00%

Distance to 52-Week Low

206.10%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.