PDYN

Palladyne AI

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Technology

industry

Software - Infrastructure

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/06/26

Business Summary

Palladyne AI operates within software infrastructure, meaning it likely provides foundational platforms that enable enterprises to deploy, manage, or scale digital systems. Companies in this space generate cash through recurring software contracts, usage-based pricing, and integration services embedded deeply into client operations. The moat, when durable, comes from switching costs, integration complexity, and the mission-critical nature of infrastructure layers. If execution is strong, recurring revenue and high incremental margins can translate into strong ROIC, but the durability of that moat depends entirely on sustained adoption and financial stability.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

27

Market Cap ($M USD)

$301

Forward P/E

-

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

52.1

PRICE TO BOOK

4

EV / EBITDA

-8.5

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.26

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

-$0.49

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

66.70%

Return on Equity (ROE)

13.40%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

-617.70%

Debt-to-Equity

0.1

Piotroski F-Score

3

Altman Z-Score

1.1

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

19.60%

Current Ratio

9.3

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

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Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

PDYN trades at a $301M market cap with a Price/Sales of 52.1 and a negative EPS of -8.5, which immediately signals extreme valuation risk relative to current profitability. The Forward P/E is unavailable while EPS Next Year is projected at $0.26, implying a dramatic earnings swing that the market is partially front-running despite a deeply distressed Altman Z-Score of 1.1. A Piotroski F-Score of 3 confirms weak fundamental quality, and the combination of a 27 P/E with negative trailing earnings highlights unstable earnings normalization. This is not a classic mispricing; it is a speculative turnaround trading at premium sales multiples while flashing balance sheet distress signals.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Software - Infrastructure company in the Technology sector, PDYN sits in a segment directly leveraged to AI-driven enterprise modernization. Infrastructure software is typically foundational to data processing, automation, and scalability, areas that benefit from AI adoption cycles. However, valuation already prices in aggressive growth expectations, leaving little room for execution error.

The Bull Case

A GARP-oriented investor could argue that ROIC of 19.60% and an Operating Margin of 13.40% demonstrate that the core business can generate efficient returns on invested capital despite current bottom-line volatility. A Return on Equity of 66.70% is extraordinarily high, suggesting strong capital productivity, and the Current Ratio of 9.3 signals ample short-term liquidity. If EPS truly inflects from -8.5 to an estimated $0.26 next year, the earnings operating leverage could be substantial relative to the $301M market cap. For investors betting on an inflection, the combination of high ROIC and strong liquidity provides a narrow but tangible foundation for upside if growth materializes.

The Bear Case

The red flags are severe. Debt/Equity of -617.70% suggests a deeply distorted capital structure, and an Altman Z-Score of 1.1 places the company squarely in financial distress territory. Sales Growth Next Year of -$0.49 indicates contraction rather than expansion, making the 52.1 Price/Sales multiple look detached from operational reality. A Piotroski F-Score of 3 reinforces weak financial health, and the absence of forward valuation metrics combined with negative trailing EPS underscores structural instability rather than temporary volatility.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

14.60%

Analyst Consensus

2.33

Average Analyst Price Target

$10.67

Institutional Ownership %

23.50%

1-Year Beta

2.88

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

25.70%%

Distance to 52-Week High

49.90%

Distance to 52-Week Low

156.50%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.