JOUT

Johnson Outdoors

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Leisure

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/01/26

Business Summary

Johnson Outdoors generates cash by designing and selling branded outdoor recreation equipment across fishing, diving, camping, and watercraft categories, monetizing both hardware sales and brand loyalty within enthusiast communities. Its moat is built on niche brand equity, specialized product engineering, and distribution relationships that are difficult for generic competitors to replicate. The company leverages seasonal demand cycles and premium positioning to drive pricing power when consumer conditions are supportive. Cash flow durability ultimately hinges on maintaining product innovation and protecting brand relevance in discretionary outdoor spending markets.

 


VALUATION

P/E

-

Market Cap ($M USD)

$539

Forward P/E

21.3

PEG

0.2

PRICE TO SALES

0.9

PRICE TO BOOK

1.3

EV / EBITDA

15.4

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

2.60%

Annual Payout

$1.32

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

9.50%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

-$2.19

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$2.42

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

3.70%

Return on Equity (ROE)

-5.40%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

0.20%

Debt-to-Equity

0.1

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

4.1

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

-4.80%

Current Ratio

3.8

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

Johnson Outdoors screens like a deep value name wrapped in near-term earnings deterioration. A Forward P/E of 21.3 against a negative EPS Next Year estimate of -$2.19 signals that the market is pricing through a cyclical trough rather than valuing current profitability, while the PEG Forward of 0.2 implies expectations of sharp growth normalization beyond the dip. The Altman Z-Score of 4.1 indicates strong balance sheet safety and low bankruptcy risk, reinforcing that this is not a distressed equity despite the -5.40% operating margin and -4.80% ROIC. With a Price/Sales of 0.9 and Price/Book of 1.3, the market is valuing assets and revenue conservatively, suggesting a potential mispricing if margins revert even modestly.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Consumer Cyclical company in the Leisure industry, Johnson Outdoors’ AI exposure is indirect and operational rather than foundational. The opportunity lies in demand forecasting, inventory optimization, and supply chain automation rather than AI-native revenue streams. Its tech resilience depends on how effectively it leverages data and product innovation to defend margins in a discretionary spending environment.

The Bull Case

A value or GARP investor would focus on balance sheet strength and recovery potential. Debt/Equity of 0.20% combined with a Current Ratio of 3.8 gives the company meaningful financial flexibility, while an Altman Z-Score of 4.1 confirms solvency strength. A Piotroski F-Score of 6 signals fundamentally stable operations despite cyclical weakness, and Return on Equity of 3.70% suggests profitability is suppressed but not structurally broken. Trading at 0.9x sales and 1.3x book with a PEG Forward of 0.2, the stock offers asymmetric upside if earnings normalize, especially with Institutional Ownership at $55.00 indicating credible capital backing.

The Bear Case

The bear case is centered on collapsing profitability and deteriorating capital efficiency. Operating Margin of -5.40% and ROIC of -4.80% show the core business is currently destroying value, and the EPS Next Year estimate of -$2.19 signals continued pressure. Short % of Float at 9.50% reflects meaningful skepticism, while the lack of a trailing P/E and erratic forward visibility reduce confidence in earnings durability. The mismatch between a Forward P/E of 21.3 and negative forward earnings highlights how fragile the earnings bridge is, making this highly sensitive to further demand weakness in a cyclical sector.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

12.60%

Analyst Consensus

1

Average Analyst Price Target

$55.00

Institutional Ownership %

75.80%

1-Year Beta

1.03

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

8.90%%

Distance to 52-Week High

98.70%

Distance to 52-Week Low

242.00%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.