GO

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.

Fundamental data last updated:October 3, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Defensive

industry

Grocery Stores

Exchange

NASDAQ

County of HQ

US

Next Earnings Date

Pending Announcement

Business Summary

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. owns and operates a network of independently operated stores in the United States. The company's stores offer products in various categories, such as dairy and deli, produce, floral, and fresh meat and seafood products, as well as grocery, general merchandise, health and beauty care, frozen foods, and beer and wine. As of August 09, 2022, it had 425 stores in eight states. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

-2.22

Market Cap ($M USD)

$852.71M

Forward P/E

9.37

PEG

0.08

PRICE TO SALES

0.18

PRICE TO BOOK

1.05

EV / EBITDA

7.56

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

-0.38%

DCF Value

$-17.62

Graham Number

N/A

Price to FCF

-266.64

EV to FCF

-824.10

Earnings Yield

-45.01%

FCF Yield

-0.38%

DIVIDEND

Yield

0.00%

Annual Payout

$0.00

Payout Ratio

0.00%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

-$3.88

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.92

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$6.54B

Return on Equity (ROE)

-36.58%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

4.59%

Debt-to-Equity

1.84

Piotroski F-Score

4

Altman Z-Score

2.10

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

8.43%

Current Ratio

1.28

Quick Ratio

0.27

Net Debt to EBITDA

5.11

Interest Coverage

6.76

Gross Profit margin

30.07%

FCF PER SHARE

$-0.03

REVENUE PER SHARE

$48.05

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Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The market appears to be severely mispricing Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., as its snapshot price traded significantly below its negative DCF value. The Forward P/E of 9.41 suggests some optimism for future earnings, yet the negative Earnings Yield and Altman Z-score of 1.64 raise red flags about financial stability. With a Price/Book ratio under 1, the market seems to doubt the company’s asset value. The negative ROIC and operating margin further underscore management’s struggle to generate returns, painting a grim picture of financial health.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

In the grocery industry, adapting to AI and tech shifts is crucial for operational efficiency and customer engagement. Grocery Outlet's sector is traditionally slow to innovate, but the potential for AI-driven inventory management and personalized marketing could offer a competitive edge. However, their current metrics don't indicate a strong tech adaptation strategy.

The Bull Case

For the value-driven investor, Grocery Outlet presents a compelling opportunity with its low PEG Forward ratio of 0.068, indicating potential undervaluation relative to growth. Despite a negative FCF Yield, the Piotroski F-Score of 4 suggests some financial health improvements. The gross profit margin of 30.27% hints at decent pricing power, which could be leveraged for future growth. These factors combined with a manageable current ratio of 1.37 suggest a potential turnaround story.

The Bear Case

The bear case for Grocery Outlet is glaringly evident in its negative EPS and operating margin, which highlight severe profitability issues. The Price/Sales ratio of 0.17 suggests the market is skeptical about revenue generation. With a quick ratio of 0.32, liquidity is a concern, and the negative interest coverage ratio indicates potential difficulties in meeting debt obligations. The stock's distance from its 52-week high by 137% further suggests technical overextension and market pessimism.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Hold

Average Analyst Price Target

$11.08

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.66

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

125.17%

Distance to 52-Week Low

34.40%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

150.00%

50-DAY SMA

$7.46

200-DAY SMA

$11.28

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.