GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Fundamental data last updated:September 20, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Packaging & Containers

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

US

Next Earnings Date

Pending Announcement

Business Summary

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides fiber-based packaging solutions to food, beverage, foodservice, and other consumer products companies. It operates through three segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. The company offers coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate paperboard (SBS) to various paperboard packaging converters and brokers; and paperboard packaging products, such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers primarily to consumer packaged goods, quick-service restaurants, and foodservice companies; and barrier packaging products that protect against moisture, hot and cold temperature, grease, oil, oxygen, sunlight, insects, and other potential product-damaging factors. It also offers various laminated, coated, and printed packaging structures that are produced from its CUK, CRB, and SBS, as well as other grades of paperboards that are purchased from third-party suppliers; designs and manufactures specialized packaging machines that package bottles and cans, and non-beverage consumer products; and installs its packaging machines at customer plants and provides support, service, and performance monitoring of the machines. The company markets its products primarily through sales offices and broker arrangements with third parties in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. Graphic Packaging Holding Company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

 


VALUATION

P/E

12.47

Market Cap ($M USD)

$3.41B

Forward P/E

6.06

PEG

0.06

PRICE TO SALES

0.39

PRICE TO BOOK

1.05

EV / EBITDA

7.38

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

4.49%

DCF Value

$22.19

Graham Number

$15.08

Price to FCF

22.28

EV to FCF

58.64

Earnings Yield

8.02%

FCF Yield

4.49%

DIVIDEND

Yield

3.82%

Annual Payout

$0.44

Payout Ratio

47.45%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.92

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$1.90

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$9.03B

Return on Equity (ROE)

8.38%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

8.27%

Debt-to-Equity

1.67

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

1.42

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

7.46%

Current Ratio

1.41

Quick Ratio

0.59

Net Debt to EBITDA

4.57

Interest Coverage

3.05

Gross Profit margin

16.94%

FCF PER SHARE

$0.52

REVENUE PER SHARE

$29.16

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

GPK’s valuation is a paradox of opportunity and caution. With a DCF value significantly higher than its snapshot price, the market seems to be undervaluing the stock. The Forward P/E of 5.59 suggests a bargain, yet the Altman Z-score of 1.43 raises red flags about financial distress. The earnings yield of 8.69% is attractive, indicating potential for solid returns. However, investors must weigh these against the company’s risk profile.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

In the packaging industry, GPK is poised to leverage AI for operational efficiency and supply chain optimization. While not a tech company, its ability to integrate AI into logistics and production processes could enhance competitiveness. The sector's resilience to tech disruption provides a stable backdrop for gradual adaptation.

The Bull Case

For the value-driven investor, GPK offers compelling reasons to buy. The ROIC of 7.46% and a Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicate efficient capital allocation and financial health. Despite a modest FCF yield of 4.86%, the company's operating margin of 8.27% suggests robust pricing power. These metrics paint a picture of a company capable of generating steady cash flow and rewarding shareholders.

The Bear Case

Yet, the bear case cannot be ignored. The Altman Z-score signals potential financial instability, while the net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.57 highlights leverage concerns. The EV to FCF ratio of 56.92 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its cash flow generation. Additionally, the quick ratio of 0.59 indicates potential liquidity issues, making it vulnerable in a downturn.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Buy

Average Analyst Price Target

$12.20

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.62

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

106.25%

Distance to 52-Week Low

23.70%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50.00%

50-DAY SMA

$9.80

200-DAY SMA

$14.79

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.