FBNC

First Bancorp

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Banks - Regional

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

04/22/26

Business Summary

First Bancorp operates as a regional banking institution generating revenue primarily through net interest income and fee-based banking services. It collects deposits, extends commercial and consumer loans, and earns the spread between funding costs and lending yields, supplemented by service charges and related financial products. Its moat is relationship-driven—localized market knowledge, long-term customer ties, and underwriting discipline create sticky deposit bases and recurring lending opportunities. Capital efficiency, reflected in its 16.30% ROIC, is the core engine of shareholder value, provided credit quality and funding stability remain intact.

 


VALUATION

P/E

21.9

Market Cap ($M USD)

$2,429

Forward P/E

11.8

PEG

1.3

PRICE TO SALES

6.3

PRICE TO BOOK

1.5

EV / EBITDA

-

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

1.60%

Annual Payout

$0.96

Payout Ratio

34.00%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

1

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

3.70%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$2.68

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$4.96

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

6.80%

Return on Equity (ROE)

6.70%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

39.30%

Debt-to-Equity

0

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

0.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

16.30%

Current Ratio

-

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 21.9x trailing earnings versus a sharply lower 11.8x Forward P/E, the market is pricing in a meaningful earnings acceleration, yet the PEG Forward of 1.3 suggests that growth is not outrageously overvalued. The real tension lies in the balance between a respectable 16.30% ROIC and a dangerously low Altman Z-Score of 0.3, which signals balance sheet fragility beneath a superficially reasonable 1.5x Price/Book. A 6.80% ROE and 6.70% operating margin are modest for a regional bank, but not broken. This is not a distressed valuation, nor is it expensive growth—it’s a cautiously priced regional bank where the forward multiple implies optimism that must overcome clear balance sheet risk signals.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a regional bank in the Financial Services sector, its AI exposure is indirect but meaningful through credit underwriting, fraud detection, and cost automation. Technology adoption can structurally improve its 6.70% operating margin if execution is disciplined. However, it lacks the scale advantages of money-center banks, so tech resilience depends on efficient capital allocation rather than innovation leadership.

The Bull Case

A GARP investor sees the spread between a 21.9 P/E and an 11.8 Forward P/E and immediately recognizes earnings inflection potential. The company generates a strong 16.30% ROIC, which materially exceeds its 6.80% ROE, signaling efficient capital deployment despite moderate equity returns. A Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates fundamentally stable operations, not distress. With Price/Book at 1.5 and institutional ownership at 65.20%, the market is treating this as a credible, institutionally supported regional bank franchise rather than a speculative turnaround, and the 1.60% dividend provides a tangible shareholder return while waiting for forward earnings to materialize.

The Bear Case

The Altman Z-Score of 0.3 is a flashing red light, suggesting balance sheet vulnerability that cannot be ignored in a leveraged industry. Debt/Equity of 39.30% is meaningful in a rising-rate or credit-stress environment, particularly when operating margins sit at just 6.70%. A PEG Forward of 1.3 implies growth is already priced at a premium to its trajectory, leaving little room for execution missteps. Add in a 3.70% short float and a consensus rating of 5.10% with a mean consensus target price of 2.17, and the picture becomes one of tempered external enthusiasm rather than broad conviction.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

5.10%

Analyst Consensus

2.17

Average Analyst Price Target

$65.20

Institutional Ownership %

80.10%

1-Year Beta

0.96

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

3.70%%

Distance to 52-Week High

93.60%

Distance to 52-Week Low

166.90%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.