FISI

Financial Institutions

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Banks - Regional

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

04/23/26

Business Summary

Financial Institutions, Inc. operates as a regional banking platform, generating cash primarily through net interest income from lending activities and spread capture between deposits and loans. Its model depends on disciplined underwriting, deposit gathering, and maintaining a spread wide enough to sustain margins like the current 11.70% operating level. The moat is localized relationship banking, where customer stickiness and community presence reduce churn and stabilize funding costs. Scale is modest, so competitive durability hinges on credit quality control and cost efficiency rather than brand dominance. Sustainable cash generation ultimately comes from prudent balance sheet management and maintaining attractive returns on invested capital.

 


VALUATION

P/E

9.4

Market Cap ($M USD)

$670

Forward P/E

8.2

PEG

1.2

PRICE TO SALES

2.8

PRICE TO BOOK

1.1

EV / EBITDA

-

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

3.70%

Annual Payout

$1.25

Payout Ratio

34.00%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

1

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

3.50%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$3.65

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$4.15

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

5.00%

Return on Equity (ROE)

11.70%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

41.80%

Debt-to-Equity

0.5

Piotroski F-Score

4

Altman Z-Score

0.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

21.40%

Current Ratio

-

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 9.4x earnings and 8.2x forward earnings, the stock screens optically cheap, but this is not a clean deep-value setup. The forward PEG of 1.2 implies growth is not dramatically outpacing valuation, and the 0.3 Altman Z-Score is a severe red flag that overwhelms the modest valuation discount. A Price/Book of 1.1 suggests the market is only slightly above tangible equity value, reflecting skepticism rather than enthusiasm. This is a statistically inexpensive regional bank with clear balance sheet risk signals, not a mispriced compounding machine.

As a regional bank in Financial Services, AI adoption will largely revolve around underwriting efficiency, fraud detection, and cost automation rather than transformative revenue creation. With an 11.70% operating margin, incremental efficiency gains from technology could matter, but this is not a high-margin platform business. Its ability to adapt will depend more on disciplined capital allocation than breakthrough innovation.

A value-oriented or GARP investor could justify a position based on the 8.2 forward P/E combined with a strong 21.40% ROIC, which signals the core business can generate meaningful returns on invested capital. The 11.70% operating margin supports the idea that this is not a distressed operator operationally, and a Price/Book of 1.1 provides tangible asset backing. Institutional ownership at 37.00% suggests credible market participation without overcrowding. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4 is neutral rather than strong, it is not signaling outright deterioration, and with EPS Next Year estimated at $3.65, earnings visibility appears stable enough to support the current multiple.

The red flags are impossible to ignore. An Altman Z-Score of 0.3 signals material financial stress risk, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 41.80% reinforces leverage sensitivity in a rate-dependent business. The PEG Forward of 1.2 implies you are not getting growth at a deep discount, while Return on Equity of just 5.00% is weak for a bank trading above book value. A Piotroski F-Score of 4 is mediocre, and the 3.50% short float shows there is an active bearish contingent that sees structural vulnerability.

United States

Financial Institutions, Inc. operates as a regional bank holding company generating revenue primarily through spread income between deposits and loans, supplemented by fee-based services. Its cash generation is driven by disciplined lending, deposit gathering, and maintaining net interest margins across local markets. The moat is relationship-based rather than scale-based, relying on regional brand presence and customer stickiness rather than national dominance. Competitive strength comes from underwriting discipline and capital allocation efficiency, which must consistently support its 21.40% ROIC to defend shareholder value.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a regional bank operating in Financial Services, its AI exposure is operational rather than product-driven, meaning efficiency gains will likely come from underwriting automation, fraud detection, and customer analytics. Technology adoption can expand its 11.70% operating margin if executed properly, particularly in branch rationalization and digital servicing. However, regional banks typically lack the scale advantages of national peers, making tech investment a competitive necessity rather than a structural advantage.

The Bull Case

A GARP or deep value investor would focus immediately on the 8.2 forward P/E paired with a 21.40% ROIC, which is an unusually strong return profile for a company trading barely above book value at 1.1x. That spread between ROIC and valuation multiple is the core of the thesis. Operating margin of 11.70% demonstrates the business is fundamentally profitable, while a Piotroski F-Score of 4 signals operational stability rather than distress collapse. Debt/Equity at 41.80% is not excessive for a regional financial institution, and short interest at 3.50% of float suggests skepticism is present but not extreme. With a market cap of $670M, even modest earnings stability could drive multiple expansion toward peer norms, especially if EPS next year reaches the estimated $3.65. This is the type of setup where normalization, not hyper-growth, creates upside.

The Bear Case

The Altman Z-Score of 0.3 is the elephant in the room — that is distress-level territory and cannot be ignored. Return on Equity is only 5.00%, which is weak for a bank and indicates mediocre capital efficiency relative to risk taken. The PEG Forward of 1.2 does not scream undervaluation, especially when earnings quality questions linger and EPS is currently listed as unavailable. Institutional ownership at 37.00% is not a strong vote of confidence, and a Piotroski F-Score of 4 signals only mid-tier financial strength. Add in the ambiguity around dividend metrics and payout sustainability, and this becomes a balance-sheet trust exercise rather than a pure earnings play. If credit conditions tighten or funding costs rise, this capital structure could be stressed quickly.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

2.80%

Analyst Consensus

2.67

Average Analyst Price Target

$37.00

Institutional Ownership %

81.80%

1-Year Beta

0.94

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

2.60%%

Distance to 52-Week High

96.00%

Distance to 52-Week Low

162.40%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.