EXE

Expand Energy Corporation

Fundamental data last updated:September 28, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Energy

industry

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Exchange

NASDAQ

County of HQ

US

Next Earnings Date

Pending Announcement

Business Summary

Expand Energy Corporation operates as an independent exploration and production company in the United States. It engages in acquisition, exploration, and development of properties to produce oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from underground reservoirs. The company holds interests in natural gas resource plays in the Marcellus Shale in the northern Appalachian Basin in Pennsylvania and the Haynesville/Bossier Shales in northwestern Louisiana. As of December 31, 2023, the company owns a portfolio of onshore U.S. unconventional natural gas assets, including interests in approximately 5,000 natural gas wells. The company was formerly known as Chesapeake Energy Corporation and changed its name to Expand Energy Corporation in October 2024. Expand Energy Corporation was founded in 1989 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

6.92

Market Cap ($M USD)

$22.28B

Forward P/E

7.79

PEG

-0.70

PRICE TO SALES

1.58

PRICE TO BOOK

1.14

EV / EBITDA

3.54

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

12.86%

DCF Value

$841.85

Graham Number

$157.03

Price to FCF

7.78

EV to FCF

8.77

Earnings Yield

14.45%

FCF Yield

12.86%

DIVIDEND

Yield

3.43%

Annual Payout

$3.19

Payout Ratio

23.68%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$13.45

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$11.95

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$15.51B

Return on Equity (ROE)

17.39%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

28.96%

Debt-to-Equity

0.27

Piotroski F-Score

8

Altman Z-Score

2.59

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

15.96%

Current Ratio

1.11

Quick Ratio

1.11

Net Debt to EBITDA

0.40

Interest Coverage

17.37

Gross Profit margin

53.38%

FCF PER SHARE

$11.94

REVENUE PER SHARE

$58.76

Analyze EXE on TradingView

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

EXE Expand Energy Corporation’s valuation is a paradox. Despite a DCF value that towers over its recent pricing, the market seems to be pricing in a cautious outlook with a Forward P/E of 8.02. The Earnings Yield of 14.02% suggests robust profitability, yet the Altman Z-score of 2.61 indicates moderate financial stability, not quite a fortress but far from distress. The Graham Number further underscores its undervaluation, hinting at a potential mispricing by the market. This stock appears to be a classic deep value play, with the market perhaps underestimating its intrinsic worth.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

In the oil and gas sector, EXE faces unique challenges and opportunities with AI and tech advancements. While the industry is traditionally slow to adapt, EXE's strong margins and operational efficiency suggest it could leverage AI for enhanced exploration and production efficiency. However, the company's resilience will depend on its ability to integrate these technologies without disrupting its core operations.

The Bull Case

For the value-driven investor, EXE offers compelling reasons to buy. With a ROIC of 15.96%, the company demonstrates exceptional capital efficiency, turning investments into profits effectively. The Piotroski F-Score of 8 signals strong financial health, while a FCF Yield of 12.48% highlights its ability to generate cash. Coupled with an operating margin of 28.96%, EXE showcases formidable pricing power and operational prowess, making it an attractive proposition for those seeking growth at a reasonable price.

The Bear Case

Despite its strengths, EXE is not without risks. The stock's Price/Sales ratio of 1.63 and Price/Book of 1.18 might seem modest, but they reflect a market wary of overvaluation. The technical indicators show it trading significantly below its 50-Day and 200-Day SMAs, suggesting potential bearish momentum. Furthermore, the massive sales growth projection appears unrealistic, raising questions about the sustainability of such forecasts. Investors should be cautious of potential overextension in expectations.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Buy

Average Analyst Price Target

$135.00

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.35

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

35.98%

Distance to 52-Week Low

2.26%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

3.79%

50-DAY SMA

$100.35

200-DAY SMA

$104.72

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.