UAN

CVR Partners

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Basic Materials

industry

Agricultural Inputs

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

04/27/26

Business Summary

CVR Partners operates as a nitrogen fertilizer producer, converting commodity inputs into ammonia and urea ammonium nitrate solutions sold into agricultural markets. Cash flow generation is driven by the spread between input costs and realized fertilizer pricing, which explains the strong 37.10% operating margin when conditions are favorable. The moat is rooted in production assets, logistics positioning, and cost structure efficiency rather than brand or intellectual property. When fertilizer pricing aligns with disciplined capital allocation—evidenced by a 14.40% ROIC and solid Piotroski score—the business can convert cyclical demand into meaningful distributable cash.

 


VALUATION

P/E

12.7

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,251

Forward P/E

-

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

2.1

PRICE TO BOOK

4.7

EV / EBITDA

8.3

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

8.90%

Annual Payout

$10.54

Payout Ratio

127.80%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

1

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$9.33

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

-

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

-

Return on Equity (ROE)

37.10%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

21.40%

Debt-to-Equity

2.2

Piotroski F-Score

7

Altman Z-Score

2.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

14.40%

Current Ratio

2.2

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 12.7x earnings with EPS of 8.3 and next year’s EPS estimated at 9.33, UAN trades at a modest multiple for a business generating a 37.10% operating margin and 14.40% ROIC. The absence of a Forward P/E and PEG ratio removes visibility into how the market is discounting growth, but the earnings trajectory implied by the higher forward EPS suggests incremental expansion. The Altman Z-Score of 2.3 places the company in a gray zone—neither distressed nor fortress-strong—while a Piotroski F-Score of 7 signals fundamentally solid operations. At a $1,251M market cap, this looks like a statistically cheap cash generator with moderate balance sheet risk rather than a broken story.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As an Agricultural Inputs company in Basic Materials, AI exposure is indirect but meaningful through precision agriculture, demand forecasting, and operational optimization. Efficiency gains in fertilizer application and supply chain logistics can reinforce already strong 37.10% operating margins. However, this is not a software-driven compounding story; it is a cyclical commodity-linked business that can only partially leverage tech tailwinds.

The Bull Case

A value or GARP investor buys this because the numbers are disciplined and profitable. A 14.40% ROIC comfortably exceeds typical cost of capital assumptions, and a 37.10% operating margin in a commodity-adjacent industry is elite, indicating pricing power or structural cost advantages. The Piotroski F-Score of 7 reinforces that the balance sheet and income statement dynamics are fundamentally sound, not deteriorating. With EPS at 8.3 and expected to rise to 9.33, you are paying 12.7x earnings for a business that throws off enough cash to support a TTM yield of 2.2 and a dividend per share figure listed at 8.90%, alongside a payout ratio of 10.54—metrics that collectively imply substantial capital return capacity relative to valuation. The 2.2 current ratio further supports liquidity strength, giving the equity a buffer in volatile agricultural cycles.

The Bear Case

Now the risks: a Debt/Equity ratio of 21.40% is not extreme but it is material in a cyclical, commodity-sensitive business where margins can compress quickly. The Altman Z-Score of 2.3 signals balance sheet vulnerability if conditions deteriorate, placing the company in a cautionary middle ground rather than a position of strength. The absence of a Forward P/E, PEG Forward, Sales Growth Next Year, Short % of Float, and Institutional Ownership % removes critical forward-looking and sentiment indicators, increasing uncertainty around growth durability and market positioning. With a Price/Book of 4.7 and Price/Sales of 2.1, the stock is not statistically cheap on asset or revenue bases, so if earnings normalize downward, the 12.7 P/E could rapidly re-rate higher.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

3.90%

Analyst Consensus

-

Average Analyst Price Target

-

Institutional Ownership %

53.00%

1-Year Beta

-0.23

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

0.30%%

Distance to 52-Week High

84.90%

Distance to 52-Week Low

179.40%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.