CIA

Citizens

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Insurance - Life

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/14/26

Business Summary

CIA Citizens operates in the life insurance segment, generating revenue through underwriting policies and investing collected premiums to earn spread income over time. The business model depends on disciplined risk pricing and consistent investment returns, with profitability driven by mortality assumptions and portfolio yield management. Cash flow stability hinges on maintaining underwriting margins while compounding float efficiently. Its moat, if any, lies in regulatory licenses, actuarial expertise, and the stickiness of long-duration policies rather than brand dominance or high switching costs.

 


VALUATION

P/E

19.2

Market Cap ($M USD)

$269

Forward P/E

15.3

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

1.1

PRICE TO BOOK

1.2

EV / EBITDA

13.6

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.29

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.35

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

4.60%

Return on Equity (ROE)

6.20%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

-

Debt-to-Equity

0

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

-

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

6.20%

Current Ratio

-

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At a $269M market cap with a 19.2 P/E and a materially lower 15.3 forward P/E, the market is pricing in moderate earnings expansion but not assigning any premium multiple. A Price/Sales of 1.1 and Price/Book of 1.2 suggest the stock trades close to balance sheet value, which is typical of a small-cap life insurer with muted profitability. However, a 4.60% ROE and 6.20% operating margin indicate a low-return business that has not yet proven it can compound capital at attractive rates. With no Altman Z-Score provided and key leverage metrics absent, the valuation looks optically reasonable but lacks the financial transparency needed to confidently call it mispriced—this is statistically cheap, not obviously high quality.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a life insurer in Financial Services, AI adoption will likely focus on underwriting automation, claims processing efficiency, and actuarial modeling enhancements. The industry is structurally data-heavy, giving companies that modernize a potential margin uplift over time. However, nothing in the provided metrics suggests CIA Citizens currently enjoys technology-driven margin superiority, given its 6.20% operating margin.

The Bull Case

A deep value or GARP investor could justify entry based on the compression between a 19.2 trailing P/E and 15.3 forward P/E, implying earnings acceleration without paying growth multiples. The Price/Book of 1.2 limits downside if asset quality is stable, and a Price/Sales of 1.1 is undemanding for a profitable insurer. A Piotroski F-Score of 6 signals acceptable fundamental stability, not distress, while ROIC of 6.20% roughly aligns with operating margin, indicating disciplined but unspectacular capital deployment. In a small-cap name with $269M market cap, even modest improvements in ROE above 4.60% could drive disproportionate multiple expansion.

The Bear Case

The bear thesis is straightforward: 4.60% ROE is weak for a financial company and signals mediocre capital efficiency. The absence of PEG Forward, Debt/Equity, Short % of Float, Altman Z-Score, and Current Ratio data creates analytical blind spots, particularly in a leveraged industry like insurance where balance sheet strength is everything. No dividend, zero TTM yield, and no payout ratio remove income support, which is often a core component of insurance investing. If forward earnings estimates fail to materialize, the 19.2 P/E quickly becomes expensive for a business generating only mid-single-digit returns on capital.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

7.30%

Analyst Consensus

3

Average Analyst Price Target

$6.00

Institutional Ownership %

28.20%

1-Year Beta

1.08

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

11.30%%

Distance to 52-Week High

83.70%

Distance to 52-Week Low

165.20%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.