CVCO

Cavco Indus

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Residential Construction

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

Brazil

Next Earnings Date

05/28/26

Business Summary

CIG is a diversified Brazilian electric utility engaged in generation, transmission, and distribution of power, monetizing regulated assets that produce recurring cash flow tied to long-term concessions. Its moat is rooted in infrastructure ownership—high replacement costs, regulatory barriers, and embedded grid networks that are not easily replicated. Revenue is largely volume-driven and tariff-regulated, creating predictable top-line streams reflected in its 1x Price/Sales ratio and steady operating margin profile. Cash generation depends on efficient capital allocation and maintaining regulatory relationships, with returns driven by disciplined reinvestment into essential energy infrastructure.

 


VALUATION

P/E

22.5

Market Cap ($M USD)

$4,014

Forward P/E

20.7

PEG

1.7

PRICE TO SALES

1.9

PRICE TO BOOK

3.7

EV / EBITDA

14.9

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$23.33

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$25.00

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

7.70%

Return on Equity (ROE)

16.90%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

9.80%

Debt-to-Equity

0

Piotroski F-Score

7

Altman Z-Score

10

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

16.50%

Current Ratio

2.5

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 8.2x earnings and 1.4x book, CIG screens statistically cheap, but the story gets murkier when you look forward: a 15.7 Forward P/E against a missing PEG and an Altman Z-Score of 1.7 signals balance sheet fragility and uncertain growth durability. The market is clearly discounting something, and the spike from 8.2x trailing to 15.7x forward suggests earnings compression ahead rather than expansion. A Piotroski F-Score of 5 and ROE of 7.60% reinforce the view of a middling-quality utility rather than a compounding machine. This is not a pristine balance sheet story, and the valuation discount is at least partially justified by financial risk and soft forward expectations.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a diversified utility, CIG operates in a capital-intensive, regulated environment where AI is more about grid optimization and efficiency than disruption risk. Utilities generally benefit from technology upgrades that enhance distribution reliability and margin stability rather than threaten core demand. The company’s 17.10% operating margin suggests it already extracts reasonable efficiency, but AI adoption would likely be incremental rather than transformational.

The Bull Case

A value-oriented investor could argue this is a classic deep-value utility setup: 8.2x earnings, 1x sales, and 1.4x book for a company generating 13.80% ROIC and 17.10% operating margins. Those returns comfortably exceed its 7.60% ROE, implying capital is being deployed with reasonable discipline relative to equity returns. The Piotroski F-Score of 5 signals operational stability rather than distress, and a manageable 15.00% Debt/Equity ratio suggests leverage is not excessive for a utility. With a market cap of $8,926M and a TTM yield of 0.7, investors are paying a modest multiple for steady infrastructure cash flows, potentially positioning for multiple expansion if forward earnings stabilize.

The Bear Case

The bear case hinges on deteriorating forward expectations and balance sheet vulnerability. A jump from 8.2x trailing P/E to 15.7x forward P/E implies earnings are expected to compress materially, and the absence of a PEG ratio underscores a lack of visible growth. The Altman Z-Score of 1.7 places the company in a cautionary zone, and a Short % of Float at 18.90% signals that a meaningful portion of the market is betting against it. Add in a Current Ratio of 1 and only a 0.7 yield, and you have limited liquidity cushion and minimal income support if volatility spikes.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

6.00%

Analyst Consensus

1.67

Average Analyst Price Target

$587.50

Institutional Ownership %

104.00%

1-Year Beta

1.14

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

1.30%%

Distance to 52-Week High

72.60%

Distance to 52-Week Low

131.50%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.