CCBG

Capital City Bank Group

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Financial Services

industry

Banks - Regional

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

04/20/26

Business Summary

CCBG operates as a regional banking franchise, generating revenue primarily through spread income and traditional banking services within defined local markets. Its moat is relationship-based rather than scale-based, relying on localized brand presence and customer stickiness typical of community and regional banks. Cash generation is driven by disciplined lending, deposit gathering, and maintaining operating margins at 11.10%, with capital efficiency reflected in a 15.10% ROIC. The durability of its model depends on underwriting discipline and balance sheet management rather than technological dominance or national scale advantages.

 


VALUATION

P/E

12.9

Market Cap ($M USD)

$796

Forward P/E

13.1

PEG

2.8

PRICE TO SALES

3.3

PRICE TO BOOK

1.4

EV / EBITDA

-

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

2.20%

Annual Payout

$1.03

Payout Ratio

27.70%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

10+

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

12.50%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$3.61

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$3.55

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

3.50%

Return on Equity (ROE)

11.10%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

35.60%

Debt-to-Equity

0.1

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

0.4

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

15.10%

Current Ratio

-

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

CCBG trades at a 12.9 P/E and 13.1 Forward P/E, which implies the market expects virtually no acceleration despite an estimated $3.61 in next-year EPS. A 2.8 forward PEG signals that growth is modest relative to valuation, yet the stock is not expensive on a traditional earnings basis. The real contradiction is the 0.4 Altman Z-Score, which signals severe balance sheet risk, sharply at odds with a 1.4 Price/Book and $796M market cap that imply stability. With a 3.50% ROE and 11.10% operating margin, profitability is present but uninspiring, suggesting the stock is priced as a stable but low-growth regional bank with embedded financial stress risk. This is not obviously mispriced; it is priced cautiously, and the Z-score suggests the market may be right to demand that discount.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a regional bank in the Financial Services sector, CCBG’s AI exposure is indirect and efficiency-driven rather than transformational. AI integration would primarily affect underwriting efficiency, fraud detection, and cost control, which could support its 11.10% operating margin. However, regional banks typically lack the scale advantages of national peers, making technology adoption more incremental than disruptive.

The Bull Case

A value or GARP investor could justify owning CCBG on capital efficiency and disciplined fundamentals. A 15.10% ROIC is strong relative to the 3.50% ROE, indicating that invested capital is generating respectable returns even if equity efficiency is muted. The Piotroski F-Score of 6 signals acceptable financial health and operational stability, not distress. Trading at 1.4x book and 12.9x earnings with a $796M market cap, the stock sits in classic small-cap value territory, while institutional ownership at 45.50% suggests credible sponsorship. If the $3.61 forward EPS materializes, the 13.1 Forward P/E becomes reasonable for a steady regional bank franchise.

The Bear Case

The red flags are serious and structural. A 0.4 Altman Z-Score is deeply concerning and implies material balance sheet risk, which is reinforced by a 35.60% Debt/Equity ratio in a rate-sensitive industry. The 2.8 PEG ratio indicates that whatever growth exists is expensive relative to its pace, undermining the GARP thesis. Short interest at 12.50% of float signals informed skepticism, and the 3.50% ROE is weak for a financial institution. Combined with a 0.1 TTM yield and inconsistent dividend metrics, the capital return story lacks clarity, amplifying the perception of fragility.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

1.60%

Analyst Consensus

2.5

Average Analyst Price Target

$45.50

Institutional Ownership %

50.80%

1-Year Beta

0.61

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

19.90%%

Distance to 52-Week High

98.70%

Distance to 52-Week Low

143.30%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.