BXC

BlueLinx Hldgs

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Industrials

industry

Industrial Distribution

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/05/26

Business Summary

BlueLinx Holdings operates as an industrial distributor, generating cash by purchasing building and industrial products at scale and reselling them through a logistics and warehouse network. Its economic engine depends on spread management — buying efficiently, controlling transportation and inventory costs, and turning working capital rapidly. The moat is thin and operational: scale relationships with suppliers and customers, credit underwriting discipline, and distribution infrastructure density. In this model, cash flow strength is driven less by innovation and more by inventory turnover, pricing discipline, and balance sheet control.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

500+

Market Cap ($M USD)

$440

Forward P/E

20.4

PEG

131.8

PRICE TO SALES

0.2

PRICE TO BOOK

0.7

EV / EBITDA

10.1

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

0.00%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.02

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$2.74

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

5.10%

Return on Equity (ROE)

0.00%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

1.10%

Debt-to-Equity

1.1

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

3.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

1.50%

Current Ratio

4.7

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

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Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

This is a classic deep-value statistical anomaly wrapped in deteriorating forward optics. A $440M market cap trading at 0.2x sales and 0.7x book screams asset discount, yet the 500+ P/E and a catastrophic PEG Forward of 131.8 reflect a near-term earnings collapse, with EPS expected to fall from 10.1 to just $0.02 next year. The Forward P/E of 20.4 suggests normalization beyond the trough, but the market is clearly pricing in instability rather than growth. Financially, the Altman Z-Score of 3.3 signals low bankruptcy risk and the 4.7 current ratio confirms strong liquidity, so this is not a balance sheet distress story — it’s an earnings power credibility problem.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As an Industrial Distribution company, BXC operates in a traditionally low-tech, logistics-heavy environment that is only gradually digitizing. AI adoption would likely center around inventory optimization, procurement analytics, and demand forecasting rather than transformative product innovation. The sector’s resilience depends more on operational efficiency and working capital discipline than technological disruption, making execution more important than innovation.

The Bull Case

A value-oriented investor sees immediate statistical cheapness: 0.2x sales, 0.7x book, and a $440M market cap supported by a Piotroski F-Score of 6, indicating stable-to-improving fundamentals rather than deterioration. The Altman Z-Score of 3.3 and a very strong 4.7 current ratio reinforce financial stability, while 70.00 institutional ownership suggests smart money is already positioned. Even with modest profitability, a 5.10% ROE and 1.50% ROIC can expand meaningfully if margins recover even slightly from the current 0.00% operating margin baseline. If earnings normalize even modestly above the extreme $0.02 forward estimate, the compression from a distorted 500+ trailing P/E to a 20.4 forward multiple could catalyze re-rating.

The Bear Case

The bear case is brutal: EPS collapsing from 10.1 to $0.02 is not a cyclical dip — it’s an earnings cliff. A PEG Forward of 131.8 implies growth expectations are completely disconnected from valuation, while 1.10 debt-to-equity adds leverage risk in a margin-compressed environment with 0.00% operating margin. ROIC at 1.50% signals poor capital allocation efficiency, and a 1.1 TTM yield with no dividend per share listed and a 0 five-year average provides no income cushion. The market may not be mispricing the stock — it may be correctly pricing a structurally low-margin distributor facing earnings compression with limited competitive differentiation.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

6.70%

Analyst Consensus

1.67

Average Analyst Price Target

$70.00

Institutional Ownership %

102.10%

1-Year Beta

1.65

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

3.00%%

Distance to 52-Week High

63.40%

Distance to 52-Week Low

125.00%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.