AVB

AvalonBay Communities, Inc.

Fundamental data last updated:September 7, 2026

We may earn a commission from partner links. This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate.

company profile

SECTOR

Real Estate

industry

REIT - Residential

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

US

Next Earnings Date

Pending Announcement

Business Summary

As of December 31, 2020, the Company owned or held a direct or indirect ownership interest in 291 apartment communities containing 86,025 apartment homes in 11 states and the District of Columbia, of which 18 communities were under development and one community was under redevelopment. The Company is an equity REIT in the business of developing, redeveloping, acquiring and managing apartment communities in leading metropolitan areas in New England, the New York/New Jersey Metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, the Pacific Northwest, and Northern and Southern California, as well as in the Company's expansion markets consisting of Southeast Florida and Denver, Colorado (the Expansion Markets).

 


VALUATION

P/E

22.40

Market Cap ($M USD)

$25.44B

Forward P/E

33.37

PEG

-1.01

PRICE TO SALES

8.30

PRICE TO BOOK

2.18

EV / EBITDA

17.41

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

5.91%

DCF Value

$418.59

Graham Number

$124.06

Price to FCF

16.92

EV to FCF

23.07

Earnings Yield

4.46%

FCF Yield

5.91%

DIVIDEND

Yield

3.84%

Annual Payout

$7.03

Payout Ratio

87.41%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$8.16

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$5.48

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$3.39B

Return on Equity (ROE)

9.67%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

29.15%

Debt-to-Equity

0.80

Piotroski F-Score

7

Altman Z-Score

1.75

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

4.19%

Current Ratio

0.35

Quick Ratio

0.35

Net Debt to EBITDA

4.64

Interest Coverage

3.30

Gross Profit margin

67.92%

FCF PER SHARE

$10.75

REVENUE PER SHARE

$21.91

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

AvalonBay Communities, Inc. appears to be significantly undervalued when juxtaposed with its DCF value of $441.39 and Graham Number of $124.06. The market’s current pricing suggests a disconnect, potentially offering a compelling entry point for value investors. However, the Forward P/E of 33.59 raises questions about future earnings growth, especially with a negative PEG Forward ratio. The Altman Z-score of 1.74 signals caution, indicating potential financial distress. Despite these concerns, the earnings yield of 4.44% suggests a reasonable return relative to its price.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a REIT in the residential sector, AvalonBay is somewhat insulated from rapid technological shifts like AI. The focus on tangible assets and rental income provides stability, though the company must still leverage tech for operational efficiencies. Its resilience will depend on adopting smart building technologies and enhancing tenant experiences through digital platforms.

The Bull Case

For the discerning GARP investor, AvalonBay's strengths lie in its robust ROIC of 4.19% and a solid Piotroski F-Score of 7, indicating sound financial health. The operating margin of 29.15% showcases its pricing power in the residential market. With a FCF yield of 5.87%, the company demonstrates efficient capital allocation, making it an attractive proposition for those seeking growth at a reasonable price.

The Bear Case

Despite its strengths, AvalonBay faces significant structural risks. The Price/Book ratio of 2.20 and Price/Sales ratio of 8.36 suggest the stock is trading at a premium, potentially overvalued relative to its book and sales. The current ratio of 0.35 indicates liquidity concerns, and the stock's proximity to its 52-week high could mean it's technically overextended. These factors, combined with a high EV to FCF of 23.18, raise red flags about its valuation sustainability.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Hold

Average Analyst Price Target

$192.50

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.80

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

14.76%

Distance to 52-Week Low

12.45%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

83.46%

50-DAY SMA

$175.32

200-DAY SMA

$180.73

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.