AESI

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

Fundamental data last updated:June 4, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Energy

industry

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

US

Next Earnings Date

08/03/2026

Business Summary

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. provides proppant and logistics services to the oil and natural gas industry within the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. The company was founded in 2017 and is based in Austin, Texas.

 


VALUATION

P/E

-21.47

Market Cap ($M USD)

$2.13B

Forward P/E

38.05

PEG

0.24

PRICE TO SALES

2.00

PRICE TO BOOK

1.81

EV / EBITDA

20.17

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

0.88%

DCF Value

$0.59

Graham Number

N/A

Price to FCF

114.08

EV to FCF

149.11

Earnings Yield

-4.66%

FCF Yield

0.88%

DIVIDEND

Yield

1.47%

Annual Payout

$0.25

Payout Ratio

-62.61%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

-$0.79

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.45

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$150.56B

Return on Equity (ROE)

-8.11%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

-6.23%

Debt-to-Equity

0.48

Piotroski F-Score

2

Altman Z-Score

1.61

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

-3.29%

Current Ratio

1.17

Quick Ratio

0.94

Net Debt to EBITDA

4.74

Interest Coverage

-1.07

Gross Profit margin

7.45%

FCF PER SHARE

$0.15

REVENUE PER SHARE

$8.53

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The market seems to be pricing AESI with a level of optimism that borders on delusion. With a Forward P/E of 81.35, investors are betting heavily on future earnings growth, despite the company’s negative current earnings yield of -4.24%. The Altman Z-score of 1.58 suggests financial distress, raising red flags about its long-term viability. Furthermore, the DCF value is shockingly low compared to its snapshot price, indicating a potential overvaluation. The market appears to be ignoring these warning signs, possibly due to the “Buy” consensus rating, but the financial health metrics paint a far less rosy picture.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

In the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services industry, AESI faces significant challenges in adapting to AI and tech shifts. While the sector is traditionally slow to innovate, companies that integrate AI for predictive maintenance and operational efficiency could gain a competitive edge. However, AESI's current metrics do not suggest a strong positioning in this tech-driven future.

The Bull Case

For the bullish investor, AESI's Forward PEG ratio of 0.63 is a beacon of hope, indicating potential undervaluation relative to its growth prospects. Despite a low Piotroski F-Score of 2, which questions operational efficiency, the company's manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.48 suggests some financial prudence. The 2.67% TTM yield provides a modest income stream, and the company's ability to grow sales by an astronomical percentage next year could signal untapped pricing power. These factors might attract those who believe in its turnaround story.

The Bear Case

The bear case for AESI is compelling. The negative EPS and operating margin of -6.24% highlight a company struggling with profitability. Its Price to FCF ratio of 125.41 and EV to FCF of 160.44 indicate severe cash flow issues, making it an unattractive option for cash-focused investors. Trading close to its 52-week high, the stock appears technically overextended, with little room for error. The high valuation multiples, combined with a low Altman Z-score, suggest a precarious financial position that could unravel if growth expectations aren't met.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Buy

Average Analyst Price Target

$20.75

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

1.04

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

18.27%

Distance to 52-Week Low

55.10%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

-56.52%

50-DAY SMA

$15.56

200-DAY SMA

$12.00

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.