AESI

Atlas Energy Solutions

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

company profile

SECTOR

Energy

industry

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/04/26

Business Summary

Atlas Energy Solutions operates within the oilfield services ecosystem, supplying equipment and services critical to exploration and production activity. The company generates cash by supporting drilling and completion operations, where demand is directly tied to upstream capital expenditures. Its competitive position likely depends on regional scale, logistics capability, and long-term customer relationships in energy-producing basins. In cyclical upswings, operating leverage can drive strong equity returns, but in downturns, fixed costs and capital intensity compress margins and pressure balance sheet stability.

VALUATION

P/E

-

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,419

Forward P/E

41.1

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

1.3

PRICE TO BOOK

1.2

EV / EBITDA

11.2

5-Year Average P/E

DIVIDEND

Yield

4.40%

Annual Payout

$1.00

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

-$0.41

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.28

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

17.10%

Return on Equity (ROE)

-

Operating Margin

-1.50%

Debt-to-Equity

-

Piotroski F-Score

2

Altman Z-Score

1.3

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

-0.40%%

Current Ratio

1.5

Quick Ratio

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

This is not a clean GARP story — it’s a stressed balance sheet story masquerading as a cyclical recovery. A Forward P/E of 41.1 paired with an EPS estimate next year of -$0.41 signals an earnings cliff, not growth. The Altman Z-Score of 1.3 places the company in financial distress territory, and the Piotroski F-Score of 2 confirms weak underlying fundamentals. At a $1,419M market cap and 1.3x sales, the stock is not priced for bankruptcy — yet the quality metrics suggest elevated risk with deteriorating profitability. This is a speculative restructuring play, not a classic undervalued compounder.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As an Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company, AESI’s AI exposure is indirect and operational rather than product-driven. The industry can benefit from automation, predictive maintenance, and data optimization, but there is no evidence in the metrics of superior returns or margin leverage from technological integration. Without visible operating margin strength or ROIC expansion, AI is unlikely to be a near-term differentiator.

The Bull Case

A value-oriented investor could argue that Price/Book at 1.2 and Price/Sales at 1.3 reflect a business trading close to asset value in a hard-asset-heavy industry. Return on Equity at 17.10% is respectable and suggests the company has historically generated solid equity returns. The Current Ratio of 1.5 indicates acceptable short-term liquidity, and institutional ownership at $12.59 implies some degree of professional sponsorship. If earnings stabilize and the negative ROIC of -0.40% reverts positive, the operating leverage in a cyclical upturn could materially re-rate the stock from depressed sentiment levels.

The Bear Case

The bear case is overwhelming. A Piotroski F-Score of 2 signals financial weakness across profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency metrics. The Altman Z-Score of 1.3 points toward real balance sheet stress, while ROIC at -0.40% means the firm is destroying capital. Forward P/E at 41.1 combined with projected EPS of -$0.41 suggests earnings deterioration, not expansion. With Debt/Equity at -1.50% and no visible operating margin data, transparency is limited and financial quality is suspect — this is the profile of a late-cycle oilfield services name facing structural headwinds.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

16.80%

Analyst Consensus

2.77

Average Analyst Price Target

$12.59

Institutional Ownership %

78.60%

1-Year Beta

0.86

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

34.70%%

Distance to 52-Week High

76.20%%

Distance to 52-Week Low

148.80%%