AMBP

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Fundamental data last updated:September 6, 2026

We may earn a commission from partner links. This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate.

company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Packaging & Containers

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

LU

Next Earnings Date

Pending Announcement

Business Summary

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.

 


VALUATION

P/E

228.21

Market Cap ($M USD)

$2.51B

Forward P/E

12.49

PEG

0.01

PRICE TO SALES

0.44

PRICE TO BOOK

-3.60

EV / EBITDA

9.84

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

8.33%

DCF Value

$25.39

Graham Number

N/A

Price to FCF

12.01

EV to FCF

32.77

Earnings Yield

0.44%

FCF Yield

8.33%

DIVIDEND

Yield

9.52%

Annual Payout

$0.40

Payout Ratio

2327.27%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.02

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.34

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$6.25B

Return on Equity (ROE)

-2.15%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

4.90%

Debt-to-Equity

-6.47

Piotroski F-Score

5

Altman Z-Score

1.19

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

7.31%

Current Ratio

1.06

Quick Ratio

0.74

Net Debt to EBITDA

6.23

Interest Coverage

1.36

Gross Profit margin

10.57%

FCF PER SHARE

$0.35

REVENUE PER SHARE

$9.59

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The market seems to be overlooking AMBP’s potential, with its stock trading significantly below its DCF value. The Forward P/E of 11.89 suggests a more reasonable valuation compared to its astronomical current P/E, hinting at expected earnings growth. However, the Altman Z-score of 1.18 raises red flags about financial distress, and the negative Price/Book ratio is a glaring anomaly. Despite these concerns, the Earnings Yield is a mere 0.46%, indicating the stock might not be generating sufficient returns relative to its price.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

Operating in the Packaging & Containers industry, AMBP is not directly exposed to rapid AI advancements. However, its focus on consumer cyclical products means it must stay agile in adopting tech-driven efficiencies. The company's resilience will depend on its ability to integrate modern manufacturing technologies.

The Bull Case

For the value-driven investor, AMBP offers compelling reasons to buy. The ROIC of 7.31% indicates efficient capital allocation, while a Piotroski F-Score of 5 suggests moderate financial health. With a Free Cash Flow Yield of 8.74%, the company demonstrates strong cash generation capabilities. Its operating margin of 4.9% reflects decent pricing power in a competitive market.

The Bear Case

Despite some strengths, AMBP faces significant structural risks. The negative Debt/Equity ratio and a Net Debt to EBITDA of 6.23 highlight a precarious financial structure. The Price/Sales ratio of 0.42 might seem attractive, but the company's low Gross Profit Margin of 10.57% suggests limited profitability. Additionally, the stock's proximity to its 52-week high indicates potential overvaluation.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Hold

Average Analyst Price Target

$4.52

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.55

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

19.76%

Distance to 52-Week Low

21.67%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

25.00%

50-DAY SMA

$4.03

200-DAY SMA

$4.02

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.