AMBP

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.

Fundamental data last updated:June 3, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Packaging & Containers

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

LU

Next Earnings Date

07/23/2026

Business Summary

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Its products are used in various end-use categories, including beer, carbonated soft drinks, energy drinks, hard seltzers, juices, pre-mixed cocktails, teas, sparkling waters, and wine. The company serves beverage producers. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A.

 


VALUATION

P/E

228.21

Market Cap ($M USD)

$2.51B

Forward P/E

12.49

PEG

0.01

PRICE TO SALES

0.44

PRICE TO BOOK

-3.60

EV / EBITDA

9.84

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

8.33%

DCF Value

$25.39

Graham Number

N/A

Price to FCF

12.01

EV to FCF

32.77

Earnings Yield

0.44%

FCF Yield

8.33%

DIVIDEND

Yield

9.52%

Annual Payout

$0.40

Payout Ratio

2327.27%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.02

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$0.34

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

$624.63B

Return on Equity (ROE)

-2.15%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

4.90%

Debt-to-Equity

-6.47

Piotroski F-Score

5

Altman Z-Score

1.19

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

7.31%

Current Ratio

1.06

Quick Ratio

0.74

Net Debt to EBITDA

6.23

Interest Coverage

1.36

Gross Profit margin

10.57%

FCF PER SHARE

$0.35

REVENUE PER SHARE

$9.59

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The market seems to be overlooking AMBP’s potential, with its stock trading significantly below its DCF value. The Forward P/E of 11.89 suggests a more reasonable valuation compared to its astronomical current P/E, hinting at expected earnings growth. However, the Altman Z-score of 1.18 raises red flags about financial distress, and the negative Price/Book ratio is a glaring anomaly. Despite these concerns, the Earnings Yield is a mere 0.46%, indicating the stock might not be generating sufficient returns relative to its price.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

Operating in the Packaging & Containers industry, AMBP is not directly exposed to rapid AI advancements. However, its focus on consumer cyclical products means it must stay agile in adopting tech-driven efficiencies. The company's resilience will depend on its ability to integrate modern manufacturing technologies.

The Bull Case

For the value-driven investor, AMBP offers compelling reasons to buy. The ROIC of 7.31% indicates efficient capital allocation, while a Piotroski F-Score of 5 suggests moderate financial health. With a Free Cash Flow Yield of 8.74%, the company demonstrates strong cash generation capabilities. Its operating margin of 4.9% reflects decent pricing power in a competitive market.

The Bear Case

Despite some strengths, AMBP faces significant structural risks. The negative Debt/Equity ratio and a Net Debt to EBITDA of 6.23 highlight a precarious financial structure. The Price/Sales ratio of 0.42 might seem attractive, but the company's low Gross Profit Margin of 10.57% suggests limited profitability. Additionally, the stock's proximity to its 52-week high indicates potential overvaluation.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

Analyst Consensus

Hold

Average Analyst Price Target

$4.52

Institutional Ownership %

1-Year Beta

0.55

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

Distance to 52-Week High

19.76%

Distance to 52-Week Low

21.67%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

25.00%

50-DAY SMA

$4.03

200-DAY SMA

$4.02

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.