ALX

Alexander's

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Real Estate

industry

REIT - Retail

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

China

Next Earnings Date

05/04/26

Business Summary

Daqo New Energy manufactures high-purity polysilicon used in solar photovoltaic systems, operating as a materials supplier within the broader semiconductor and energy value chain. Its cash generation historically comes from producing polysilicon at scale and selling into global solar module manufacturers, where pricing is heavily influenced by supply-demand imbalances. The moat, when present, is cost leadership and process efficiency—high utilization and low per-unit production costs allow it to remain profitable through cycles. However, this moat is cyclical and capital-intensive rather than structural, meaning profitability expands dramatically in tight supply environments and compresses just as quickly during oversupply phases.

 


VALUATION

P/E

45.1

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,263

Forward P/E

-

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

6

PRICE TO BOOK

11.6

EV / EBITDA

17.6

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

7.30%

Annual Payout

$18.00

Payout Ratio

327.30%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

0.00%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$5.50

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

-

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

1.40%

Return on Equity (ROE)

25.90%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

30.60%

Debt-to-Equity

8.6

Piotroski F-Score

4

Altman Z-Score

1.5

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

4.90%

Current Ratio

8.3

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At a $1,388M market cap with a Forward P/E of 18.8 and a Price/Book of 0.3, the market is clearly discounting asset value while assigning only moderate value to forward earnings. The absence of a trailing P/E and a projected EPS collapse to -$5.13 next year signals a sharp earnings deterioration, which explains why the multiple is not lower despite negative operating metrics. An Altman Z-Score of 2 places the company in the gray zone—far from distress but not financially bulletproof—while a Piotroski F-Score of 5 suggests middling fundamental strength. This is not a clean growth story; it is a deep cyclically impaired asset play where the market is pricing in real earnings pressure but potentially over-penalizing the balance sheet given the 0.3 Price/Book and 5.7 current ratio.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As part of the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials industry, the company sits upstream in a supply chain critical to advanced electronics and energy systems. AI and modern compute infrastructure require massive semiconductor and energy inputs, indirectly supporting demand for high-purity materials. However, its positioning is cyclical and input-driven rather than platform-based, meaning it benefits from tech capex waves but lacks direct AI monetization leverage.

The Bull Case

A deep value investor could argue the 0.3 Price/Book ratio is the core thesis: the market is valuing the company at a steep discount to its net assets despite a 54.80% Return on Equity, which is exceptionally high and signals historical capital efficiency. A 5.7 current ratio provides substantial liquidity cushion, and a Piotroski F-Score of 5 indicates operational stability rather than collapse. Even with a -7.90% Operating Margin and -7.90% ROIC, the balance sheet strength implied by low valuation multiples and solid liquidity gives optionality if industry conditions normalize. If earnings recover beyond the projected -$5.13 EPS next year, the 18.8 Forward P/E could compress rapidly, creating asymmetric upside from depressed sentiment.

The Bear Case

The bear case is brutal. Operating Margin and ROIC are both -7.90%, meaning the business is currently destroying capital, and EPS is expected to swing to -$5.13 next year despite current EPS of 1.9—an earnings cliff. A Debt/Equity of -58.60% is a structural red flag, suggesting balance sheet distortion that complicates capital structure analysis. The Altman Z-Score of 2 keeps the firm out of distress territory but not safely above it, and with no dividend, zero yield, and no payout support, investors are fully exposed to operational volatility. Combine that with a negative PEG Forward and the absence of a trailing P/E, and this becomes a cyclical value trap risk rather than a clean GARP opportunity.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

9.50%

Analyst Consensus

4

Average Analyst Price Target

$190.00

Institutional Ownership %

35.90%

1-Year Beta

0.45

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

58.40%%

Distance to 52-Week High

94.90%

Distance to 52-Week Low

125.80%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.