AGCC

Agencia Comercial Spirits

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Defensive

industry

Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

Business Summary

Agencia Comercial Spirits operates within the wineries and distilleries ecosystem, generating cash by producing and/or distributing alcoholic beverages into retail and on-premise channels. The core economic engine in this industry is brand equity, distributor relationships, and shelf space control, which together create recurring demand and pricing leverage. With a 22.20% operating margin and 20.80% ROIC, the business demonstrates an ability to convert brand strength and distribution reach into efficient capital returns. Its moat, if sustainable, lies in entrenched consumer habits and the defensiveness of alcohol demand, which tends to remain resilient across economic cycles.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

384.6

Market Cap ($M USD)

$294

Forward P/E

-

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

95.2

PRICE TO BOOK

87.7

EV / EBITDA

295.3

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.04

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

-

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

-

Return on Equity (ROE)

22.20%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

31.10%

Debt-to-Equity

0.1

Piotroski F-Score

-

Altman Z-Score

56.4

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

20.80%

Current Ratio

1.9

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

Analyze AGCC on TradingView

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 384.6x earnings and an eye-watering 95.2x sales with a 87.7x book multiple, this stock is priced for fantasy, not fundamentals. A $294M market cap paired with a triple-digit P/E signals extreme multiple compression risk, especially with no forward P/E visibility and no stated sales growth outlook. The only thing screaming safety is the Altman Z-Score of 56.4, which implies negligible bankruptcy risk and a fortress balance sheet profile. Financially stable? Yes. Rationally valued? Absolutely not. This is a speculative multiple wrapped around an otherwise solid operating business.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Consumer Defensive player in Beverages – Wineries & Distilleries, the company operates in a category largely insulated from AI disruption at the core product level. AI may improve supply chain forecasting, inventory optimization, and targeted marketing, but it will not fundamentally alter demand for spirits. The resilience here comes from brand, distribution, and consumer loyalty—not technological leverage.

The Bull Case

If you strip away the multiple hysteria and look purely at operating quality, there are traits a GARP investor would respect. A 22.20% operating margin in a consumer staples category signals pricing power and disciplined cost control, and a 20.80% ROIC indicates the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital. Debt/Equity at 31.10% is moderate, and a 1.9 current ratio suggests adequate short-term liquidity. The Altman Z-Score of 56.4 reinforces balance sheet durability. In other words, this is a high-quality operator in a defensive sector with strong capital efficiency—exactly the kind of business institutions like to compound with, if the price were right.

The Bear Case

Now the reality check: 384.6x earnings, 95.2x sales, and 87.7x book value is not investing—it’s speculation. There is no forward P/E, no forward sales growth estimate, and EPS next year is just $0.04, which suggests either extreme volatility or a collapse in normalized earnings visibility. The valuation leaves zero margin of safety; even minor execution missteps would justify a violent re-rating. A 0.1% yield offers no income cushion, and without growth metrics to justify the premium, this multiple structure is structurally fragile.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

0.70%

Analyst Consensus

-

Average Analyst Price Target

-

Institutional Ownership %

0.40%

1-Year Beta

1.54

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

73.00%%

Distance to 52-Week High

59.30%

Distance to 52-Week Low

404.60%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.