AEBI

Aebi Schmidt Holding

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

company profile

SECTOR

Industrials

industry

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

Switzerland

Next Earnings Date

06/26/26

Business Summary

Aebi Schmidt Holding operates in specialized farm and heavy construction machinery, generating revenue through equipment sales tied to agricultural and infrastructure cycles. Cash flow is driven primarily by large-ticket machinery transactions, supported by parts, servicing, and replacement demand that provide recurring revenue streams. Its moat is not technological dominance but niche specialization and entrenched distribution relationships in municipal and agricultural markets. Competitive durability comes from installed base stickiness and equipment lifecycle servicing, though pricing power appears limited given the 1.20% operating margin.

VALUATION

P/E

67.1

Market Cap ($M USD)

$881

Forward P/E

8.6

PEG

-

PRICE TO SALES

0.4

PRICE TO BOOK

1.1

EV / EBITDA

15.8

5-Year Average P/E

DIVIDEND

Yield

0.40%

Annual Payout

$0.10

Payout Ratio

29.40%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.17

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$1.33

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

5.00%

Return on Equity (ROE)

1.20%

Operating Margin

4.80%

Debt-to-Equity

0.9

Piotroski F-Score

-

Altman Z-Score

1.6

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

3.80%%

Current Ratio

1.9

Quick Ratio

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At $881M market cap, AEBI screens statistically cheap on a Forward P/E of 8.6 and Price/Sales of 0.4, but the headline discount is masking fragility. The trailing P/E of 67.1 combined with an Altman Z-Score of 1.6 signals balance sheet stress and earnings instability rather than clean growth acceleration. The collapse from EPS of 15.8 to an estimated $0.17 next year is not a growth setup—it’s a reset, and the market is pricing in volatility and financial risk. This is not a classic mispricing; it’s a cyclical industrial trading at a discount because its fundamentals are thin and leverage is high.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery company, AEBI operates in a capital-intensive, hardware-driven segment where AI impact is incremental rather than disruptive. Marginal gains will come from automation, precision systems, and fleet optimization, but with a 1.20% operating margin, there is little cushion to self-fund aggressive tech transformation. The company must rely on operational efficiency rather than technological dominance to compete.

The Bull Case

A value-oriented investor could argue that the stock is pricing in excessive pessimism. A Price/Book of 1.1 and Price/Sales of 0.4 suggest the market is valuing the company close to asset value while assigning minimal premium to revenue generation. ROIC of 3.80% and ROE of 5.00% are modest but positive, indicating the business is still generating returns above zero despite thin 1.20% operating margins. The Forward P/E of 8.6 implies earnings normalization potential, and with a Current Ratio of 1.9, near-term liquidity is not strained. For deep value buyers willing to tolerate cyclicality, the asymmetry lies in multiple expansion if earnings stabilize.

The Bear Case

The red flags are substantial. Debt/Equity of 4.80% combined with an Altman Z-Score of 1.6 places the company in financial distress territory, and with operating margins at just 1.20%, there is virtually no buffer against downturns. The PEG ratio is not provided, and short interest data is absent, limiting visibility into growth-adjusted valuation and market sentiment. Institutional ownership at 15.00% suggests limited smart-money conviction, and the projected EPS collapse to $0.17 raises serious questions about earnings durability. This is a levered industrial with razor-thin profitability and deteriorating earnings power.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

3.20%

Analyst Consensus

2

Average Analyst Price Target

$15.00

Institutional Ownership %

41.20%

1-Year Beta

2.34

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

52.80%%

Distance to 52-Week High

71.40%%

Distance to 52-Week Low

127.80%%