ASTH

Astrana Health

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

company profile

SECTOR

Healthcare

industry

Medical Care Facilities

Exchange

Nasdaq

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/14/26

Business Summary

Andersons operates as a scale-driven food distribution platform that monetizes logistics, merchandising, and supply chain management across essential agricultural and food channels. Cash generation is driven by high-volume throughput, working capital efficiency, and margin capture on distributed goods rather than premium pricing power. Its moat is operational: entrenched supplier relationships, infrastructure, and distribution networks that are costly to replicate. The business thrives on execution discipline, balance sheet management, and cycle timing rather than brand dominance, making efficiency and scale the primary defenses against competition.

VALUATION

P/E

60.2

Market Cap ($M USD)

$1,536

Forward P/E

9.2

PEG

0.4

PRICE TO SALES

0.4

PRICE TO BOOK

2

EV / EBITDA

16.1

5-Year Average P/E

DIVIDEND

Yield

-

Annual Payout

-

Payout Ratio

-

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

0

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

-

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$0.46

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$2.99

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

9.70%

Return on Equity (ROE)

2.90%

Operating Margin

2.50%

Debt-to-Equity

1.4

Piotroski F-Score

3

Altman Z-Score

2.4

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

3.00%%

Current Ratio

1.4

Quick Ratio

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

The market is pricing ANDE like a cyclical with limited durability, yet the spread between a 26.7 P/E and a 13.3 Forward P/E with a 0.8 PEG Forward suggests a sharp earnings normalization that the market does not fully trust. A Price/Sales of 0.2 and Price/Book of 2 point to a company that is inexpensive relative to revenue but not statistically distressed, and the Altman Z-Score of 4.3 confirms strong balance sheet safety. However, the disconnect between a 10.5 EPS and an EPS Next Year estimate of $2.81 signals volatility that justifies some skepticism. This is not a broken company, but it is one the market views as cyclical and margin-sensitive rather than structurally compounding. The valuation implies stabilization, not sustained high growth, yet the balance sheet strength argues bankruptcy risk is minimal.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Food Distribution player in the Consumer Defensive sector, ANDE operates in a logistics- and scale-driven industry where automation, demand forecasting, and supply chain optimization are central to margin defense. AI-driven inventory management and routing efficiencies can protect its 7.70% Operating Margin in a low-margin business. The sector is resilient to disruption but not immune to tech-driven efficiency gains, meaning execution—not reinvention—will determine returns.

The Bull Case

A GARP or deep value investor sees the 0.8 PEG Forward and 13.3 Forward P/E as the core thesis: growth at a discount. The Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates operational stability rather than deterioration, and a 5.80% ROIC—while not elite—exceeds many distribution peers in a capital-intensive space. The 7.70% Operating Margin is respectable for Food Distribution, and a 4.3 Altman Z-Score materially reduces tail risk. Institutional Ownership at $73.33 supports the idea that serious capital views this as investable, not speculative. Add a Current Ratio of 1.4 and a modest 2.70% Short % of Float, and the setup favors steady operators betting on earnings normalization rather than heroic growth assumptions.

The Bear Case

The bear case starts with capital structure and profitability pressure: a 1.20% Debt/Equity ratio paired with just 3.60% Return on Equity signals mediocre capital efficiency. The collapse from 10.5 EPS to an estimated $2.81 next year suggests earnings volatility, not smooth compounding, and a 26.7 P/E on trailing earnings is not cheap if profits are mean-reverting downward. A 5.80% ROIC barely clears the cost of capital hurdle in a rising-rate environment, limiting value creation. The 0.8 TTM Yield and Dividend Per Share USD of 1.10% with a Payout Ratio of $0.80 provide limited income cushion. With a Mean Consensus Target Price of 1 and Consensus Rating of 3.90%, expectations appear muted rather than enthusiastic, reinforcing the idea that this is a cyclical operator, not a structural compounder.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

7.40%

Analyst Consensus

1.58

Average Analyst Price Target

$36.00

Institutional Ownership %

60.10%

1-Year Beta

1.15

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

22.40%%

Distance to 52-Week High

79.40%%

Distance to 52-Week Low

152.80%%