ALSN

Allison Transmission

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

company profile

SECTOR

Consumer Cyclical

industry

Auto Parts

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

Ireland

Next Earnings Date

05/07/26

Business Summary

Dole operates as a vertically integrated producer and distributor of fresh fruit and vegetables, generating cash through large-scale farming, sourcing, packaging, and global distribution relationships with retailers. Its moat is rooted in supply chain infrastructure, global sourcing networks, and long-standing retail contracts that create logistical complexity for new entrants. The business depends on scale efficiencies, procurement advantages, and distribution density to maintain its 3.80% operating margin in a commoditized market. Cash generation is driven by high-volume turnover rather than pricing power, making operational discipline and working capital management central to shareholder returns.

VALUATION

P/E

17.5

Market Cap ($M USD)

$10,682

Forward P/E

11.2

PEG

0.7

PRICE TO SALES

3.6

PRICE TO BOOK

5.7

EV / EBITDA

11.8

5-Year Average P/E

DIVIDEND

Yield

0.90%

Annual Payout

$1.16

Payout Ratio

14.60%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

6

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

8.80%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$7.42

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$11.43

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

5.20%

Return on Equity (ROE)

33.40%

Operating Margin

30.20%

Debt-to-Equity

1.6

Piotroski F-Score

6

Altman Z-Score

2.9

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

15.80%%

Current Ratio

4.9

Quick Ratio

Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 15.5x earnings and just 10.4x forward earnings, DOLE is priced like a no-growth, balance-sheet-risked commodity operator, yet the forward multiple compression suggests material earnings normalization ahead. The Altman Z-Score of 2.9 places the company in the grey zone—stable but not fortress-like—while a modest 3.60% ROIC and 1.80% ROE show capital efficiency remains subdued. This is not a high-quality compounder, but the 0.2x Price/Sales and 1.1x Price/Book imply the market is valuing the business close to asset value and deeply discounting operating leverage. The stock appears statistically inexpensive, but the low profitability profile means this is a balance-sheet-and-execution story, not a premium growth franchise.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As a Consumer Defensive company in Farm Products, DOLE operates in a low-tech, logistics-heavy segment where AI adoption is more about operational efficiency than disruption. Margins at 3.80% suggest even incremental optimization in supply chain forecasting or waste reduction could materially impact profitability. The business is resilient to tech displacement, but upside from AI is evolutionary rather than transformational.

The Bull Case

A value or GARP investor could justify ownership based on pure valuation asymmetry. A 10.4 forward P/E alongside a 0.2 Price/Sales ratio signals extremely low market expectations, while a Piotroski F-Score of 5 suggests financial conditions are stable rather than deteriorating. The 3.80% operating margin, though thin, is typical for agricultural distribution, and even small improvements could meaningfully expand earnings due to scale. With ROIC at 3.60% and a current ratio of 1.2, the company is not distressed, and the 2.20% dividend with a 0.34 payout ratio indicates retained earnings capacity. If forward earnings estimates materialize, multiple re-rating toward market averages could drive outsized returns from this compressed base.

The Bear Case

The structural weaknesses are hard to ignore. Debt/Equity at 2.40% signals meaningful leverage relative to its thin 3.80% operating margin, leaving little room for operational shocks in a commodity-driven business. Return on Equity of just 1.80% reflects poor shareholder capital efficiency, and the absence of a PEG ratio suggests limited visibility into sustainable growth. An Altman Z-Score of 2.9 keeps the company out of distress territory but not comfortably safe, and with ROIC at 3.60%, the firm barely clears its likely cost of capital. This is a low-margin, leveraged operator where execution missteps or pricing pressure could quickly erode equity value.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

3.20%

Analyst Consensus

2.67

Average Analyst Price Target

$123.25

Institutional Ownership %

103.80%

1-Year Beta

1.1

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

0.70%%

Distance to 52-Week High

99.70%%

Distance to 52-Week Low

169.10%%