AL

Air Lease

Fundamental data last updated:April 13, 2026

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company profile

SECTOR

Industrials

industry

Rental & Leasing Services

Exchange

NYSE

County of HQ

United States

Next Earnings Date

05/04/26

Business Summary

Disney monetizes intellectual property across a vertically integrated ecosystem that spans content creation, distribution, and experiential assets. It generates cash by producing premium entertainment content, distributing it across owned platforms, and extracting recurring revenue from branded franchises that drive both direct sales and licensing streams. The moat is rooted in irreplaceable characters and storytelling assets that can be repurposed across multiple formats, reinforcing pricing power and cross-platform monetization. This integrated model allows revenue to be recycled through high-margin segments, sustaining scale advantages that smaller competitors cannot replicate.

 


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VALUATION

P/E

7

Market Cap ($M USD)

$7,281

Forward P/E

7.6

PEG

1.1

PRICE TO SALES

2.4

PRICE TO BOOK

0.9

EV / EBITDA

10

5-Year Average P/E

Free Cash Flow Yield

DCF Value

Graham Number

Price to FCF

EV to FCF

Earnings Yield

FCF Yield

DIVIDEND

Yield

1.40%

Annual Payout

$0.88

Payout Ratio

9.40%

Consecutive Years of Dividend Growth

10+

5-Year Dividend Growth Rate

6.60%

Financial Health & Profitability

Earnings Per Share

$9.35

Next Year EPS Growth Estimate

$8.53

Next Year Revenue Growth Estimate

8.60%

Return on Equity (ROE)

12.30%

FREE CASH FLOW

Operating Margin

22.80%

Debt-to-Equity

2.3

Piotroski F-Score

8

Altman Z-Score

0.5

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

3.80%

Current Ratio

0.3

Quick Ratio

Net Debt to EBITDA

Interest Coverage

Gross Profit margin

FCF PER SHARE

REVENUE PER SHARE

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Gainseekers Quantitative Analysis

Summary

At 14.6x earnings and 13.5x forward earnings, Disney is not priced like a high-growth compounder, yet the PEG Forward of 1.1 suggests growth is reasonably aligned with valuation rather than speculative. The Piotroski F-Score of 8 signals strong underlying financial improvement, but the Altman Z-Score of 2.2 keeps the balance sheet in the gray zone where financial stress is not negligible. A 1.6x Price/Book and 1.9x Price/Sales multiple imply the market is valuing the assets and revenue base conservatively, likely due to the modest 4.30% ROE and 0.7 current ratio. This is not a distressed valuation, but it is a cautious one—priced for operational execution rather than aggressive expansion, with moderate balance sheet risk embedded.

AI Exposure / Tech Reliance

As an Entertainment company within Communication Services, Disney sits directly in the crosshairs of AI-driven content creation, personalization, and distribution shifts. The ability to leverage technology to optimize content delivery and audience targeting will be critical as margins sit at 11.30%, leaving room for efficiency gains. Companies in this space that integrate AI into production workflows and distribution economics can protect margins and enhance ROIC, which currently stands at 9.00%.

The Bull Case

A disciplined GARP investor sees a business trading at 13.5x forward earnings with a PEG of 1.1 and a robust Piotroski F-Score of 8—this signals operational traction rather than deterioration. The 9.00% ROIC exceeds the 4.30% ROE, indicating capital is being deployed with reasonable efficiency despite accounting equity constraints. An 11.30% operating margin in a capital-intensive entertainment business demonstrates real pricing power and cost discipline. With Debt/Equity at just 14.20%, leverage is not excessive, and a 0.4 yield with a 2% five-year average dividend suggests capital return remains part of the framework. At a $175,681M market cap, investors are paying a moderate multiple for a globally entrenched franchise platform that is showing fundamental strength through its F-Score of 8.

The Bear Case

The red flags are subtle but material. A 4.30% ROE is weak for a company of this scale, signaling equity capital is not compounding at an attractive rate. The current ratio of 0.7 indicates tight liquidity, and the Altman Z-Score of 2.2 reinforces that balance sheet resilience is not bulletproof. The payout ratio listed at $1.50 against a 0.4 yield and Dividend Per Share of 1.30% suggests capital allocation optics are not entirely clean, and the PEG of 1.1 leaves limited margin for disappointment if growth slows. With the next earnings report on 05/06/26, execution risk is immediate, and any stumble could compress the 14.6x multiple quickly.

Market Sentiment & Smart Money

Short Interest %

4.50%

Analyst Consensus

2.8

Average Analyst Price Target

$61.25

Institutional Ownership %

91.90%

1-Year Beta

0.45

Insider Buying % (6 Mo)

6.10%%

Distance to 52-Week High

100.00%

Distance to 52-Week Low

162.90%

EARNINGS SURPRISE %

50-DAY SMA

200-DAY SMA

⚠️ Financial Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Information may be delayed or inaccurate. We may earn a commission from partner links.